However, a larger segment of the workers of oppressed nationalities than of white workers may fall for it, as liberal identity politics claims to represent them and therefore makes inroads. I don't suspect it will be a huge segment of these workers; maybe the same part that voted for Biden in the primaries. So, mostly older workers of oppressed nationalities.
There will then begin a period of dual power, and instead of secession conventions deciding the battle lines, it will be the declarations of governors and military units that decides the battle lines. The corporations will undoubtedly give massively to patrolmen's benevolent associations, winning them the support of the cops in every large city and guaranteeing them immediate control there, whatever the states themselves decide. The rank and file of the US military will, now as then, stay loyal to the flag and the duly-elected President. But in states like New York and California, and anywhere else where large liberal cities dominate state politics, it's not unimaginable that their National Guards might go over.
As we class analyzed revolutions in a preceding chapter, we know that liberals and fascists will collaborate against us. If there is any counterrevolution in the South, it will come in the most (literally) unreconstructed white supremacist parts dominated by middle class labor aristocrats, as well as big cities like Atlanta where liberalism has cut enough blacks into the middle class action. It will be a hilariously unwieldy alliance there, with grifters like Stacey Abrams marching hand in hand with the Klan. What will unite them is their woke "ethnostates' rights"-ish legalistic reading of liberalism that will justify their side; each will see the other as a necessary evil to save liberal democracy.
As a consequence, I don't expect the South to be very interested in the counterrevolution; instead, ironically and therefore dialectically, they and the Midwest with their supercharged patriotic false consciousness will probably be the bastion of Unionism in the civil war to come. Both sections sent more than their fair share of blood to Iraq and Afghanistan; for that same reason I also expect Native America to mostly stay loyal despite the People's Republic of Turtle Island lines.
Native Americans are the part of the current Democrat coalition likeliest to know how to use a gun. Their presence in this coalition is shaky; like most ethnic groups patronized by Democrats, it's mostly their bougies and petties who are voatbloos, and very few of them are bougie or petty. The tribal governments will only be able to get so far ahead of their hyper-oppressed working class, and therefore most will stay loyal. Not all will; the last Confederate to lay down arms was Stand Watie, a Cherokee leader (History.com, "How the US Civil War Divided Indian Nations," Nov. 23. 2020, https://www.history.com/news/civil-war-native-american-indian-territory-cherokee-home-guard). This time around, I would expect any Natives that help Wall Street rise again will be put front and center of their propaganda, as well as any black friends like Deval Patrick or Cory Booker that they may have.
The loyalty of black people will be curious. As the workers that the Dymocrites have decided to pander to, some will continue to see liberalism as the lesser evil, especially if they're older or richer. But as the cops go over to Wall Street, I know the black and Hispanic working class will stay loyal, and I suspect the black and Hispanic gangs they incarcerate will turn loyalist, as the Nazi gangs get deputized by the rebellion. Both Crips and Bloods will deck themselves in Union blue, at least for the duration of the conflict. The unjustly incarcerated black and Hispanic working masses will most likely side against their jailers, and therefore stay loyal. One can imagine a series of cavalry raid-style strikes on private prisons in Wall Street territory, liberating and arming the prisoners and returning back to Union lines with more troops than they set out with.
The internal destruction of the private prison system will starve Wall Street of labor. During the revolution, any and all shipping between Wall Street and the rest of the world will be a dubious proposition due to the revolutions breaking out in the Third World, as well as the high likelihood of the US Navy remaining loyal. So their only source of soldiers will be free people from their cities, and their only source of labor left after that will be in those prisons. Prison raids and a likely Union declaration of the end to the whole private prison system sometime during the war, will likely be the modern-day equivalent of the Emancipation Proclamation, collapsing the internal rebel economy and encouraging disorder.
Any modern conflict involving a major power has also to consider space as a warfighting domain. GPS is a service of the US military, whose rank and file will stay loyal. It may prove difficult to freeze rebel hardware out of the GPS system, at which point it matters which side's military is better at navigating by the sun and stars. That will be the side with the majority of rural workers, so again advantage Union. However, Europe is working on its own system and may well offer to share it with the rebels.
SpaceX will also presumably have its Starlink satellite network fully deployed by the civil war, and the loyalty of them and NASA will be critical. They are middle class and Elon is bougie, and America's launch sites are in bougie territory: Florida and California. But Boca Chica and the Johnson Space Center are both in Texas, and much rocket manufacturing has been done in Alabama ever since Wehrner von Braun moved there. Congressional sausage-making will have at least provided the Union with a chance to build a second NASA if the first defects.
We should be very concerned by the prospect of any defections in the space-industrial complex. The first prototype of the space shuttle was a concept called the Dyna-Soar, a shuttle-like craft attached to the nose of a rocket. The orbital launch then would allow it to travel anywhere in the world, drop bombs (or kinetic weapons, which derive their power from their speed) from orbit, or even land an expeditionary force on the other side of the world with a fleet of them. Others could be fitted out as orbital fighters to guard the rest. Whoever controls SpaceX during the civil war will likely have them develop a version of Starship that could perform the functions of a Dyna-Soar. Perhaps both sides will develop one, and it'll be the submarine or ironclad of our civil war.
Continue reading Part III
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